Sacramento St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
750  Elijah Changco SO 33:18
958  Ryan Salcido SR 33:35
980  Tyler Sickler SR 33:36
1,411  Aidan Schraer SR 34:11
1,773  Tristen Thomson SO 34:44
1,864  Trevon Lockwood FR 34:53
1,980  Samuel Scheuer SR 35:04
National Rank #184 of 315
West Region Rank #24 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 15.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elijah Changco Ryan Salcido Tyler Sickler Aidan Schraer Tristen Thomson Trevon Lockwood Samuel Scheuer
UCR Invitational 09/16 1144 33:08 33:35 33:26 33:58 33:47 34:32 34:51
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/14 1174 33:20 33:30 33:36 33:58 34:47 35:05
Big Sky Championship 10/28 1205 33:30 33:40 34:46 34:12 35:43 34:51 35:48
West Region Championships 11/10 1142 32:57 33:16 33:14 34:38 34:46 35:10 35:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.7 681 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 3.9 7.8 12.5 17.9 18.4 17.0 9.9 4.9 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elijah Changco 102.1
Ryan Salcido 118.2
Tyler Sickler 119.9
Aidan Schraer 151.8
Tristen Thomson 181.1
Trevon Lockwood 189.2
Samuel Scheuer 197.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.4% 0.4 16
17 1.0% 1.0 17
18 2.4% 2.4 18
19 3.9% 3.9 19
20 7.8% 7.8 20
21 12.5% 12.5 21
22 17.9% 17.9 22
23 18.4% 18.4 23
24 17.0% 17.0 24
25 9.9% 9.9 25
26 4.9% 4.9 26
27 2.1% 2.1 27
28 1.0% 1.0 28
29 0.7% 0.7 29
30 0.3% 0.3 30
31 0.1% 0.1 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0